Many historical processes exhibit recurrent patterns of change. Century-long periods of population expansion come before long periods of stagnation and decline; the dynamics of prices mirror population oscillations; and states go through strong expansionist phases followed by periods of state failure, endemic sociopolitical instability, and territorial loss. Peter Turchin and Sergey Nefedov explore the dynamics and causal connections between such demographic, economic, and political variables in agrarian societies and offer detailed explanations for these long-term oscillations--what the authors call secular cycles.
Secular Cycles elaborates and expands upon the demographic-structural theory first advanced by Jack Goldstone, which provides an explanation of long-term oscillations. This book tests that theory''s specific and quantitative predictions by tracing the dynamics of population numbers, prices and real wages, elite numbers and incomes, state finances, and sociopolitical instability. Turchin and Nefedov study societies in England, France, and Russia during the medieval and early modern periods, and look back at the Roman Republic and Empire. Incorporating theoretical and quantitative history, the authors examine a specific model of historical change and, more generally, investigate the utility of the dynamical systems approach in historical applications.
An indispensable and groundbreaking resource for a wide variety of social scientists, Secular Cycles will interest practitioners of economic history, historical sociology, complexity studies, and demography.
Many historical processes exhibit recurrent patterns of change. Century-long periods of population expansion come before long periods of stagnation and decline; the dynamics of prices mirror population oscillations; and states go through strong expansionist phases followed by periods of state failure, endemic sociopolitical instability, and territorial loss. Peter Turchin and Sergey Nefedov explore the dynamics and causal connections between such demographic, economic, and political variables in agrarian societies and offer detailed explanations for these long-term oscillations--what the authors call secular cycles.
Secular Cycles elaborates and expands upon the demographic-structural theory first advanced by Jack Goldstone, which provides an explanation of long-term oscillations. This book tests that theory''s specific and quantitative predictions by tracing the dynamics of population numbers, prices and real wages, elite numbers and incomes, state finances, and sociopolitical instability. Turchin and Nefedov study societies in England, France, and Russia during the medieval and early modern periods, and look back at the Roman Republic and Empire. Incorporating theoretical and quantitative history, the authors examine a specific model of historical change and, more generally, investigate the utility of the dynamical systems approach in historical applications.
An indispensable and groundbreaking resource for a wide variety of social scientists, Secular Cycles will interest practitioners of economic history, historical sociology, complexity studies, and demography.
Prisen for levering afhænger af typen af dit medlemskab, eller om du ikke har et medlemskab.
Hvis du ikke har et medlemsskab er priserne som følger:
Levering til pakkeshop | 39,95 kr. pr. ordre |
Hjemmelevering | 59,90 kr. pr. ordre |
Med et guldmedlemsskab er leveringspriserne:
Levering til pakkeshop. Ordrer under 250 kr. | 34,95 kr. pr. ordre |
Levering til pakkeshop. Ordrer over 250 kr. | 24,95 kr. pr. ordre |
Hjemmelevering. Ordrer under 250 kr. | 59,90 kr. pr. ordre |
Hjemmelevering. Ordrer over 250 kr. | 49,90 kr. pr. ordre |
Med et plating- eller streaming medlemsskab er leveringspriserne:
Levering til pakkeshop. Ordrer under 250 kr. | 24,95 kr. pr. ordre |
Levering til pakkeshop. Ordrer over 250 kr. | 0 kr. pr. ordre |
Hjemmelevering. Ordrer under 250 kr. | 44,90 kr. pr. ordre |
Hjemmelevering. Ordrer over 250 kr. | 19,95 kr. pr. ordre |
Bemærk venligst, at vi forbeholder os retten til at ændre i et fragtbeløb efter ordreafgivelse, hvis man som kunde har opnået en særlig fragtpris pga. køb for over 250 kr. og efterfølgende retter i sin ordre, så ordrebeløbet kommer under 250 kr. Ovenstående fragtpriser for ordrer under 250 kr. vil i så fald være gældende.
Levering
Varerne sendes indenfor 1-6 hverdage. Den konkrete leveringstid står oplyst ved hver enkelt vare. Levering sker med PostNord eller DAO distribution. Vi leverer kun i Danmark og ikke til Grønland og Færøerne.
Vær opmærksom på, at DAO ofte leverer om natten, og at der ikke skal kvitteres for modtagelse af pakken fra DAO. Hvis ikke DAO kan levere pakken forsvarligt ved dør eller i postkasse,
vil pakken i stedet blive leveret til nærmeste pakkeshop, også selvom du har betalt for hjemmelevering.